Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.204430 0.236962 0.272996 0.315876 0.365522 0.421212 0.488452
2025-07-27 0.156053 0.200233 0.254308 0.325390 0.416443 0.529285 0.679972
2025-08-03 0.127874 0.176003 0.239117 0.327993 0.450085 0.612199 0.844340
2025-08-10 0.106599 0.155359 0.222995 0.323744 0.470275 0.676110 0.988173
2025-08-17 0.089006 0.136298 0.205164 0.312856 0.477423 0.720144 1.106800
2025-08-24 0.079771 0.127693 0.200579 0.319640 0.509825 0.802870 1.290897
2025-08-31 0.071018 0.118371 0.193307 0.320686 0.532555 0.872311 1.461567
2025-09-07 0.064418 0.111462 0.188694 0.324904 0.560112 0.951502 1.656334
2025-09-14 0.056929 0.102002 0.178577 0.318359 0.568326 0.998891 1.802024
2025-09-21 0.051213 0.094832 0.171369 0.315692 0.582444 1.057145 1.972504
2025-09-28 0.047106 0.089995 0.167598 0.318514 0.606342 1.134664 2.186105
2025-10-05 0.045199 0.088973 0.170534 0.333902 0.654975 1.262057 2.507348
2025-10-12 0.042713 0.086638 0.170922 0.344817 0.697029 1.383094 2.833778
2025-10-19 0.040346 0.084261 0.170980 0.355141 0.739266 1.509526 3.187233
2025-10-26 0.037430 0.080392 0.167593 0.357983 0.766456 1.608666 3.496041
2025-11-02 0.034110 0.075263 0.161028 0.353344 0.777291 1.675147 3.743109
2025-11-09 0.030522 0.069117 0.151626 0.341457 0.771013 1.704559 3.912304
2025-11-16 0.028930 0.067191 0.151044 0.348864 0.808068 1.831528 4.315177
2025-11-23 0.026992 0.064244 0.147871 0.350005 0.830959 1.929377 4.662391
2025-11-30 0.025484 0.062115 0.146291 0.354611 0.862329 2.049719 5.076813
2025-12-07 0.023320 0.058167 0.140074 0.347464 0.864814 2.102871 5.334398
2025-12-14 0.021632 0.055183 0.135806 0.344553 0.877257 2.181020 5.663339
2025-12-21 0.020445 0.053316 0.134031 0.347634 0.904996 2.299448 6.108998